Prediction markets, minus the cope.
The line moved. The cat checked whether it mattered. Daily movement, cross-venue disagreements, and social noise — graded, not guaranteed.
Today’s Board
Full report →-
Will Event A occur by December 31, 2026?62.0% +8.0 pts Polymarket
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Will Candidate B win the August contest?31.0% −13.0 pts Polymarket
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Will Team D win its next match?71.0% +3.0 pts Polymarket
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Will Event A occur before January 1, 2027?56.0% +1.0 pts Kalshi
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Will Indicator C exceed the supplied threshold in Q4?47.0% +7.0 pts Opinion
Largest Gap
SEMANTIC
Polymarket 62.0% vs Kalshi 56.0%
The prices differ, but the label is controlled by contract matching and execution evidence, not by enthusiasm.
Social Pulse
X focused on Event A contract wording, Candidate B rumor cycle, Team D late lineup discussion. Reddit ingestion is disabled pending approved commercial access.